We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Bank Penny Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NYCB) stands against the other bank penny stocks.
The US banking sector in 2024 faces various challenges and opportunities. Although the industry has recovered from the bank failures of early 2023, it now deals with a slower economy, tighter regulations, and the possibility of interest rate cuts, all of which present risks for the sector.
In the past year, the US banking sector observed the collapse of a couple of well-known banks, which led to uncertainty in regional bank stocks. When considering the broader context, last year’s bank closures were not particularly notable in terms of quantity. The year’s total of five closures pales in comparison to 2009 and 2010, which saw 140 and 157 closures, respectively. However, 2023 stood out due to the substantial total assets of the affected institutions, primarily driven by the significant sizes of First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, and Signature Bank.
The banks were also heavily funded by uninsured deposits, as a significant portion of their customers held deposits exceeding the FDIC insurance limit of $250,000. This increased their risk during sector volatility. Despite these closures and the following instability, many bank stocks regained stability and ended 2023 with positive returns.
The economic outlook indicates slower growth and the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This may result in a dip in bank profitability, although it is expected to remain strong, with an anticipated return on common equity ranging from 10% to 11%. Moreover, asset quality is predicted to weaken but should remain manageable, with strong pre-provision earnings providing support.
There are economic risks to consider, including the potential for a recession if the Federal Reserve is not careful enough with rate cuts, as well as the persistent threat of inflation that could result in prolonged high rates. Moreover, credit card charge-offs are anticipated to rise. However, banks with more diversified deposit bases and fewer uninsured deposits are less likely to face high risks as compared to those with more uninsured deposits. Regulatory changes, including the finalization of new capital and resolution requirements, may be implemented in 2024 in response to the banking failures of the previous year.
Despite these challenges, the banking sector is expected to maintain strong profitability and capital buildup, aided by a potentially more favorable rate environment later in the year. Moreover, there are potential investment opportunities in regional banks perceived as undervalued. With this context in mind, let’s take a look at the best bank penny stocks to buy now.
Our Methodology
To compile a list of the 10 best bank penny stocks to buy, we conducted an in-depth analysis. Our first step was to identify banks with share prices below $5. To assess their investment potential, we examined the number of hedge fund investors in these banks during Q1 2024. We used Insider Monkey’s database of over 900 hedge funds to rank the best bank penny stocks according to the hedge fund sentiment.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
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New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NYCB)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 28
Established in 1859, New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NYCB) is a holding company for Flagstar Bank, a leading provider of financial services in the US. The bank caters to individuals, small businesses, and professional groups, offering a vast range of products: deposit accounts, mortgages, commercial real estate loans, and various consumer loans. The company further enhances its services with cash management solutions, investment and insurance options, and convenient online and mobile banking.
Highlighting a promising future during its last earnings call, New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NYCB) revealed that it had secured over $1 billion in new equity and implemented a solid credit risk strategy. The company aims to achieve a Return on Average Assets (ROAA) of 1%, a Return on Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) of 11-12%, and a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 11-12% by the end of 2026.
According to 15 analysts’ forecasts for New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB), the average 12-month price target sits at $5.39, reflecting a potential upside of over 60%. The forecasts range from a low of $3 to a high of $12. Overall, 28 funds reported owning a stake in New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYSE:NYCB), making it one of the top bank penny stocks to buy now.
Overall NYCB ranks 1st on our list of the best bank penny stocks to buy. You can visit 10 Best Bank Penny Stocks to Buy Now to see the other bank penny stocks that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of NYCB as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NYCB but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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