US inflation rises to 3.4%
Newsflash: US inflation has risen, in a blow to the White House ahead of November’s presidential elections.
Consumer prices rose by 3.4% in the year to December, new data shows, as American households were hit by pricier housing costs and energy.
That’s up from an annual rate of 3.1% in November, when cheaper gas prices slowed the rising cost of living in America.
Economists had expected a smaller rise, to 3.2%.
In December alone, prices rose by 0.3%, including a 0.2% rise in food costs.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics says:
The index for shelter continued to rise in December, contributing over half of the monthly all items increase. The energy index rose 0.4 percent over the month as increases in the electricity index and the gasoline index more than offset a decrease in the natural gas index.
It’s not all bad news, though. Core inflation (which strips out food end energy) rose by 3.9% in the year to December, down from 4% in November.
Recent polling has shown that more than half of voters feel worse off under President Biden, even though inflation has dropped back from the 40-year highs seen in 2022.
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Time to wrap up.
Here are today’s main stories:
Sarah Butler
John Lewis is bringing back its former fashion boss Peter Ruis to lead the department store chain – after more than a decade running retailers including Jigsaw and Anthropologie – in its latest effort to turn around the business.
The appointment of an experienced retailer, with 30 years in the industry including stints at Marks & Spencer, Ted Baker and Levi’s before joining John Lewis, and most recently as chief executive of Canada’s Indigo books and homewares chain, comes amid falling sales and profits at the department store.
Ruis, who worked at John Lewis between 2005 and 2013, will start next week, replacing Naomi Simcock, who has been interim boss since the abrupt exit of Pippa Wicks almost a year ago. Simcock will take up a new role as operations director for the chain.
Rupert Neate
The former head of recruitment at Goldman Sachs is suing the investment bank for more than £1m alleging that demanding him to be “working unreasonable and excessive hours” led to “physical and psychiatric injuries” and “wanting to take his own life”.
Ian Dodd, 55, who was Goldman’s global head of recruiting in London between 2018-2021, says in a personal injury claim at the high court that he developed a major depressive disorder and heart issues as a result of the workload placed on him by the US bank.
Lawyers for Dodd said in documents filed at the the high court made public this week, according to Bloomberg”:
“His onerous workload and the associated stress and uncertainty that he faced when working unreasonable and excessive hours, together with the failure of the defendant’s senior leadership partners to provide him with adequate support, culminated in him wanting to take his own life.”
More here:
Microsoft overtakes Apple as world’s most valuable company
Microsoft has overtaken Apple to become the world’s most valuable listed company today.
Shares in Microsoft rose 1.5% in early trading, giving it a market valuation of $2.888 trillion. Apple were down 0.3%, with a market capitalization of $2.887trn.
Both shares are a little lower now, though.
This is the first time since 2021 that Apple’s valuation has fallen below that of Microsoft, reports Reuters.
Apple has made a poor start to 2024, as concerns grow that demand for its products could weaken due to poor consumer demand.
Microsoft has benefitted from its close links to OpenAi, as investors back the potential of artificial intelligence.
The partners of the Odey Asset Management hedge fund, which is winding up after its founder was accused of misconduct, are to share nearly £64 million for its final year of operations, PA Media reports.
Odey AM said the amount of profit that will be distributed between its 11 members had grown from £18.8m in the year to the end of April 2022 to £63.9m the following year.
This will be split between the members, although not evenly. One member will be entitled to £28.6m on their own.
The company spent £17.6m paying its 29 members of staff during the period, results posted to Companies House reveal.
The closure of Odey AM was announced at the end of October, five months after allegations of sexual misconduct made by junior female members of staff against its founder Crispin Odey threw the hedge fund into turmoil.
Odey denies the allegations.
S&P 500 ‘briefly surpasses record closing high’
Stocks have opened a little higher on Wall Street, as traders digest the rise in US inflation last month.
The S&P 500 index of US shares is up 0.2% at 4,793.75 points, and reportedly briefly traded above its record closing high set two years ago (which was 4,796.56).
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, of 30 major US stocks, is up 0.1%.
Full story: US inflation ticked up to 3.4% in December as policymakers mull rate cuts
Callum Jones
Inflation ticked higher in the United States last month as the Federal Reserve weighs the latest stage of its battle against price growth, my colleague Callum Jones reports.
The headline consumer price index increased at an annual pace of 3.4% in December, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, up from 3.1% in the previous month, and exceeding economists’ expectations of about 3.2%.
On a month-to-month basis, the index climbed 0.3%, from 0.1% in November. Housing costs drove the index higher, and were responsible for more than half the headline increase.
But there were some signs that inflation continued to soften in December. The so-called “core” consumer price index – a measure that does not include volatile food and energy prices – slowed to an annual rate 3.9%, from 4% the previous month.
More here.
US jobless claims remain low
Some better economic news: The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment support has fallen.
There were 202,000 fresh ‘initial claim’s for jobless support, a drop of 1,000 compared with the previous week.
That’s encouraging news for US workers; it suggests firms are holding onto staff. But that may disappoint the Fed, as a weakening labor market and rising unemployment would dampen inflation.
Here’s a handy chart showing how US core inflation has eased, but at 3.9% is still almost double the Fed’s target for headline inflation.
Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist at Capital Economics, points out that used car prices, and housing costs, pushed up US core inflation last month.
Ashworth explains that these moves will probably unwind soon:
Core prices only increased by 0.3% because of a 0.5% m/m increase in used vehicle prices, which we know from the more timely auction data will be more than reversed soon, and a bigger 0.5% m/m increase in shelter inflation, which we know isn’t going to last based on the marked slowdown in the more timely measures of newly-signed rental agreements.
Analyst Andreas Steno Larsen argues that today’s US inflation report is “HOT”, as consumer prices rose faster than expected – by 0.3% in December alone, and 3.4% over the year.
Viraj Patel, FX & global macro strategist at Vanda Research, agrees that it will be harder for the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates as soon as March.
But he also points out that many items in the ‘basket’ used to measure inflation rose less than the overall monthly average:
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