AmeriVet Securities head of U.S. rates Gregory Faranello on the Fed pausing rate hikes, his outlook for the market and the UAW strike.
The average rate on the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage surged again this week, hitting the highest level in nearly 23 years.
Freddie Mac’s latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey released Thursday shows that the average rate for a 30-year fixed note climbed to 7.31%, up from 7.19% last week, and from 6.7% a year ago.
The rate on a 15-year mortgage also rose, averaging 6.72% after coming in last week at 6.54%. One year ago, the rate on a 15-year fixed note averaged 5.96%.
A sign outside a home for sale in Atlanta, Georgia on Wednesday, Septeber. 6, 2023. (Photographer: Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has hit the highest level since the year 2000,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “However, unlike the turn of the millennium, house prices today are rising alongside mortgage rates, primarily due to low inventory. These headwinds are causing both buyers and sellers to hold out for better circumstances.”
SEE HOW MUCH HIGHER MORTGAGE RATES ARE ACTUALLY COSTING YOU
Indeed, the latest data from the National Association of Realtors found that pending home sales tumbled 7.1% in the U.S. last month, indicating that high housing costs are causing more consumers to balk at making a deal.
Would-be buyers are increasingly being priced out of the market or getting sticker shock, with the median monthly mortgage payment recently hitting an all-time high of $2,632.
Homes in Rocklin, California, on Tuesday, December 6, 2022. (Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
Meanwhile, would-be sellers locked in at much lower mortgage rates are staying put, contributing further to the ongoing inventory shortage that has been driving up home prices ever since the pandemic began.
FED SKIPS AN INTEREST RATE HIKE, BUT HIGH MORTGAGE RATES COULD BE HERE TO STAY
The interest rate-sensitive housing market has cooled rapidly in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign. Policymakers have lifted the benchmark federal funds rate 11 times as they have tried to crush stubborn inflation and slow the economy.
Officials signaled during their policy-setting meeting last week that another rate hike is on the table this year – and that rates are likely to remain elevated for some time.
A house for sale in Arlington, Virginia, July 13, 2023. ((Photo by SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images) / Getty Images)
“With mortgage rates continuing to exceed 7%, we’ll soon see whether the month-to-month uptick in newly listed homes comes from sellers who are capitulating to current rate conditions or nervous that they needed to act before mortgage rates climbed even higher,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com.
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Hale added, “Weekly trends suggest that this may be a much-needed acceptance of higher rates, which may indicate some sticking power to the trend.”
FOX Business’ Megan Henney contributed to this report.
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