Waller Unintentionally Sends Yields Higher
Tue, Jan 16 2024, 3:35 PM
The most hotly anticipated calendar event at the start of this holiday-shortened week was a Q&A with the Fed’s Christopher Waller, hosted by Brookings. The questions were as solid as you’d expect from David Wessel and Waller’s answers were informative–at least for market participants who may have misunderstood his role in the current Fed canon. Specifically, Waller has been dovish in terms of his impact on rates of late. Today, his comments were hawkish–not because they were actually hawkish, but rather because they weren’t as dovish as traders expected. Rates reacted accordingly with both MBS and Treasuries losing more than a small amount of ground.
- NY Fed Manufacturing
- -43.7 vs -5.0 f’cast, -14.5 prev
- NY Fed Manufacturing
10:29 AM
Weaker overnight, but pushing back a bit now. 10yr still up 5.8bps at 3.999. MBS down 6 ticks (.19).
12:23 PM
2 way weakness after Waller comments, but now at the day’s weakest levels. 10yr up 12bps and MBS down half a point
03:00 PM
Additional weakness into the 2pm hour, but bouncing modestly since then. MBS down half a point. 10yr up 12.3bps at 4.064.
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